Two weeks ago Lorcana made the biggest swing of its three-year run. Wilds Unknown, Chapter 12, put Pixar in the game for the first time.
We previewed the schedule back in March. The set went live. Now the market has had a vote.
Prerelease ran May 8. Full release hit May 15. Here's where the prices landed.
The Two Cards Everyone's Chasing
The set has 242 cards. 204 main-set, 18 Epic, 18 Enchanted, and 2 new Iconics.
The Iconics are the headliners. Buzz Lightyear - Jungle Ranger at #241 and Merida - Formidable Archer at #242. Both rendered in a new Art Nouveau style Ravensburger calls "Lore Nouveau."
The community estimates the pull rate at roughly 1 in 1,500 packs. That's a collector number, not an official one from Ravensburger. Treat it as a ballpark.
Buzz is the one with a real market. He's been holding four figures across the two weeks, roughly $1,250 to $1,500, with a TCGplayer market price near $1,452 on May 29.
Merida is thinly traded. Asks are in four figures, but the sales are too sparse to call a number. No stable value yet.
So the Pixar premium is real on the chase. Buzz Lightyear's first Lorcana print is doing exactly what a first print of a billion-dollar character should.
What's Holding in the Enchanted Tier
Below the Iconics sits the Enchanted band. These launch-weekend prices from May 8-9 are a baseline, not a current quote. Read them as where the set opened.
Jessie - Lively Cowgirl led the tier around $326 to $350. The Family Scattered hit roughly $328. Alien - True Believer ran $250 to $294.
The Incredibles family stacked up underneath. Syndrome around $218. Frozone $203. Mrs. Incredible $200. Mr. Incredible $164. Jack-Jack $178.
Isabela Madrigal landed around $281. Worth flagging that Isabela is Encanto, not Pixar. Encanto is in the set too.
The pattern is clear. Toy Story and The Incredibles carry the Enchanted tier, and Toy Story is the most represented franchise in the set with around 30 cards. The $160 to $350 band is the launch ceiling for non-Iconic chases.
What Flopped
Commons did what commons do. They collapsed to roughly $0.02 to $0.34 within days.
That's normal post-launch behavior, not a Pixar problem. Every set bleeds out its bulk.
The thing to watch is the gap between launch-weekend hype prices and where cards actually settle. Two weeks is early. Those Enchanted numbers were set when supply was tightest and FOMO was highest. Expect drift, not stability, on most of them.
Are the Boxes Holding?
No. And that's the tension.
A booster box is 24 packs at $143.76 MSRP. Street prices are sitting at $121 to $144. At or below sticker, two weeks in.
There is no sealed premium. No scarcity panic. You can walk into the market and buy a box for what it costs, or less.
Ravensburger also debuted a new Prerelease Box at $39.99. Six packs, a Traveler promo, dice, and a postcard. A cheaper entry point than the booster box, and a sign Ravensburger is building out product tiers.
Did the Pixar Bet Work?
Half of it did.
The chase cards have genuine demand. Buzz Lightyear is holding four figures, the Enchanted tier opened strong, and first-print Pixar characters are doing real numbers. Collectors want these cards.
But sealed product tells the other half. Boxes at or below MSRP means no mania, no flipper frenzy, no shortage. Demand is for the hits, not the boxes.
Toy Story 5 hits theaters June 19. That's a possible tailwind for the Toy Story cards, not a guarantee. Movies move collectibles sometimes and do nothing other times.
Two weeks in, the read is simple. The Pixar premium is real where the scarcity is, and absent where it isn't. If you're chasing Buzz, the market agrees with you. If you're stacking sealed boxes hoping for a spike, the market hasn't shown up yet.
